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The Primaries(1) (Jan.-Feb.2008)


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Articles In This Section (13 Items):
*Three Main Reasons Why Obama Won in Iowa
*Why Hillary Clinton deserves to lose in New Hampshire and the country
*Self-identification among Blacks in America: How does Barack Obama fit in?
*Why are people 'colour-blind' when they are not 'gender-blind'?
*Why Barack Obama Brings Hope to Blacks, in particular
*Should political views be more important than color?
*Why Bill Clinton campaigning is unfair to Barack Obama
*Three Quotes That Sum Up The Reasons for Barack Obama's South Carolina Victory
*Why Barack Obama is so Inspiring. How much HOPE do YOU have?
*Will a Clear Democrat Leader Emerge From Super Tuesday?
*Counting the Ways Barack Obama is now President-in-Waiting
*The Best Thing Hillary Clinton Could do For March 4th
*5 things America needs to change in its presidential elections


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Three Main Reasons Why Obama Won in Iowa

Since joining Newsvine, I have been following various debates, particularly as to why Obama wasn't likely to win the nomination, and have watched with fascination as even the most talented Viners closed their minds to what was possible and stuck with what they 'knew', even in the face of consistent poll results, while finding it difficult to deal with the unknown. But to appreciate why Obama has created history today, and will get to the White House on his own steam, is to understand the power of pioneers. Obama is a pioneer of the first mould. Armed with nothing more than his vision, faith, determination and incredible charisma, he is about to change America's recent impact on the world to something much more positive and to give a glimpse to the nation of what is possible for them.

What has helped Obama in his presidential quest are three major elements which very few members of the biased media were able to take into account:

1. Hillary's own approach to the presidential campaign. She was obviously set on establishing an early lead and raising the most money to prove her electability and suitability for the post, to overwhelm her rivals with high statistics and powerful support. However, she obviously forgot the very important message of that famous song: "It's not where you start, it's where you finish". That is the only thing that matters - finishing. She was so busy concentrating on making a big splash to start, and maintaining it at all costs, even with vindictive personal attacks by members of her team against Obama, she forgot about the power of the underdog to come from behind; that underdogs have nothing to lose but their doggedness! Furthermore, while she was concentrating on wooing women to get the female vote, what happened to the men?

The public hate politicians and the media making up their minds for them, when they are the real deciders with the final votes. I think Hillary sounded her own death knell when she told Katie Couric in December that she would definitely get the nomination. That was really like an arrogant red rag to a simmering bull. A little bit more humility and public appreciation could have worked wonders for her.

2. The support of the youth. Sixty percent of Obama's new caucus voters were people under 25, while most of Hillary's came from women over 65. That youth presence is a powerful endorsement by the future generation of Americans. Despite being in his 40s, Obama's youthful looks have encouraged them to see him as 'one of them', reflecting their hopes and dreams of a united America - for BOTH men and women. Obama has not only impressed and motivated them, but he is also taking the future with him in their powerful show of support. That is a formidable position to be in.

The youth of many countries has always been in the vanguard of change: ready to go on the protest marches, to join debates, to speak out and to make their voices heard. Fearless and far seeing, our youths are phenomenal in being agents of change because they have little experience to keep them stuck in the past and controlled by fear. They have greater visions of what is possible, as they are not hampered by limiting dogma and entrenched positions. They are also willing to experiment, unlike the older folks, they mainly go by their instincts and what inspires them and are keen to defend their beliefs. With such a solid endorsement of youthful support, especially where young people tend to behave like lemmings and word of mouth is very powerful, Obama had to be a winner.

And finally, the main reason:

3. The inability of the pundits to deal with the unknown. Obama was an unknown candidate whose lack of experience kept him out of their orbit. His colour is also a major issue for the racists across America. Put those two factors together and his audacity of hope would have appeared laughable to the many people claiming to know the score in American politics. Their 'experience' would have told them that Obama had not a hope in hell of making much impact because nothing like it had ever happened before. But that's the problem with people who mainly use 'experience' as a guide. Their narrow vision keeps them stuck with past actions and what has been tried and tested, robbing them of the ability to deal with change and the unknown.

But our world has been built by pioneers, with nothing more than their curiosity, faith and determination to guide them. Obama is no exception to this. As such, he has created a major headache for the 'experience' gang. Their closed minds are unable to comprehend this new direction and so the old chestnuts keep coming out like: "Republicans will vote against him if he does get the nomination, so a Republican will win". What tired nonsense. The refuge of the ignorant and fearful. They are still unable to deal with this unknown and continue to clutch at the straws of familiarity. But there will be lots more shocks in store for them by the time they recover from Iowa.

Nothing succeeds like success so, with this historic win in the first primary, watch his bandwagon turn into a juggernaut as the caucuses roll on. The blind mist will slowly clear as the doubters begin to see what is possible. It will be hard to stop him after New Hampshire because everyone likes a winner, especially one who has beaten all the odds to get there.

Quite simply, Americans, and the world, no longer want more of the same negativity and fear. Until the biased media and the 'experienced' political pundits accept that simple fact, they will continue to miss out on one of the biggest historical changes about to engulf America.

To quote David Brooks of the New York Times:
"Iowa won’t settle the race, but the rest of the primary season is going to be colored by the glow of this result. Whatever their political affiliations, Americans are going to feel good about the Obama victory, which is a story of youth, possibility and unity through diversity — the primordial themes of the American experience.

"And Americans are not going to want to see this stopped. When an African-American man is leading a juggernaut to the White House, do you want to be the one to stand up and say, No?
Obama has achieved something remarkable."

Who, indeed, would dare to do that, for a variety of reasons?







Why Hillary Clinton deserves to lose in New Hampshire and the country

After Hillary's dismal third-place race in iowa, she and her team quickly headed to New Hampshire. No sooner had they landed, when her campaign press secretary, Jay Carson, and the campaign's chief strategist, Mark penn, began the damage limitation exercise by dissing Iowan people and belittling their importance.

Unloading to the Wall Street journal, Jay said, “Iowa is so small, it’s like a mayor’s race in a medium-sized city. It wouldn’t be wise to put too much emphasis on it.”

Mark Penn put the knife in even further and turned it brutally: “The worst thing would be to over count Iowa and its importance. Iowa doesn’t have a record of picking presidents.”

So, there! (noses turned up disdainfully, perhaps?)

Whether that is true or not, that was not the thing to say when, just a few months before, Ms Clinton was lauding Iowa, expressing her admiration in fulsome terms and was praiseworthy of their state. However, as Iowans obviously rejected her in the face of all that appreciation, it stung deeply and the criticisms began in earnest, which is the most telling aspect of Hillary Clinton: her lack of leadership skills and genuine sincerity.

The Essence of True Leaders
True leaders are not poor losers. They are also inclusive, not divisive. They are sincere in their objectives, even if others are cynical of their efforts. They soon learn that they can get someone to do far more for them by valuing that person than being mean to them. Not for Senator Clinton. It seems that if you do not vote for Hillary then you are against everything she is for, and if you are not a supporter, you are of no value to her. As she expects to win, the implication for voters is that she is THE only choice they have. Should they resist that idea, then they are not really significant in the scheme of things, and shouldn't be taken too seriously. They've failed at the task, served their purpose, and can expect to be punished with barbed criticisms some time later.

That is just manipulating the public for one's own ends. Voters know exactly what they are doing for their own aims, not hers. Their actions might not agree with the self-styled critics and pundits who feel they know best, but voters like to exercise that individual, hard-won right even if their choice seems bizarre to others. The appropriate reaction to any polling result is a huge thank you amid the tears and appreciation for considering her in the first place, not putting voters down the minute it goes pear-shaped because one never knows when they might be needed again - and voters have elephant memories. There really is nothing like a poor loser, especially one who gradually reveals her true ambition as the race gets tougher.

It is sheer arrogance why Mrs Clinton has been on a losing streak this month. This lady, in her bid to show how powerful and supported she was all those months, forgot two important things about any competition:
a. the power of the underdog to come from behind and bite you on the leg, and
b. never to count one's chickens before they are hatched!

The Clinton team are now being nice and fuzzy to their voters in New Hampshire, with Hillary even visiting homes personally to get her message across. The smiles are broader and the expectations broader still. When those are dashed on Wednesday, and she heads for South Carolina, will it be the turn of New Hampshire to get it in the neck? How can voters trust such a chameleon who seems to react favourably and appreciate them only when she is winning? That's no leader at all. That's just an opportunist.

As a 'concerned' supporter of Senator Clinton commented: "If Hillary cannot manage 'a mayor's race in a medium sized city', how can she manage the nation?"

How, indeed?







(First published on Helium.com)

Self-identification among Blacks in America: How does Barack Obama fit in?

Many African Americans are happy Barack Obama is running for president, but they regard him as 'half black' or not 'not black enough', and not someone who has gone through a 'typical black American experience'. But what is a 'typical' black American experience? No one in the world has a typical experience. Each person's life is unique and no matter what part it might share in a human trend, no one knows the other person's pain, joys, laughter or sorrow.

It is a kind of arrogance to believe that because we all share an outward skin colour that we all share the same 'typical' experiences. Not even when we are in the same proximity with each other, we don't share anything exactly with our neighbour. We might share a world perspective, and a particular cultural view, or even similar aspirations, but we are not clones of each other. That difference is guaranteed by personal perception which dictates our reality.

Black people have no monopoly of life experiences than any other race. ALL the experiences within a culture identifies that culture- whether relating to rich, poor, great or small, strong or weak. The total of the sum of each part defines us. But those limiting thoughts of not being 'typical' could be what has kept many Black people down all this time: those negative thoughts assume that only people with really bad experiences can really be Black. Cripes. Give me strength.

And then this obnoxious thing about being 'half black' or 'not black' enough. What an insult to human beings and the variety of emotions and perspectives that make us up. Please don't start me off on this ghastly topic. My mother was regarded as 'white' though she had some mixed race from her grand parents and that simple fact robbed me of a grandfather. When she fell in love with my dad (who was Black) her father disowned her, cut her out of his life and they never spoke again. That is the effect of simple, sad minds on colour. They only see that colour, not the wonderful people beneath it. Yet the consequences can be truly tragic for those on the receiving end of that racism.

Perhaps it is truly time for Black people to stop allowing themselves to be merely defined by their colour; to stop being racist to themselves; stop rejecting themselves because of their shade and quantity of 'black' and to give that respect to themselves that they seek first, before they can ever hope to get real respect from others.







Why are people 'colour-blind' when they are not 'gender-blind'?

Many people (White ones mainly) are always keen to boast how 'colour-blind' they are. But if race and gender are the two key aspects which make up our identity, why are they not gender-blind too? Yet, in view of the rush of female support for Hillary Clinton in the New Hampshire primary, women who openly admitted rallying behind her because they perceived she had been treated in a 'sexist' manner by the media, they are certainly NOT gender-blind too. We tend to acknowledge women first, then worry about how they fit in with our perspectives later. We don't believe they are pseudo-men to make ourselves feel better. And very few men would boast of being a woman! They value their masculine persona and are proud of it.

Whereas with colour, it's a different story. Being colour-blind is actually treating people as 'honorary' versions of ourselves so that we don't have to address that difference at all, and reduce our own discomfort in the process. Whenever we lack the skills to deal with anything unfamiliar and perceived to be threatening, we either relegate it to the same level as us, treat it with contempt beneath us, act superior towards it or ignore it altogether by being superficially 'blind' to it!

The function of any of those approaches is simply to help us to cope with difference. When the recipents insist on being treated according to THEIR expectations, we are likely to object because, not being able to deal with such difference, we then belittle its relevance and/or negate its presence. WaltD(a fellow Newsviner) once said in a comment, in dealing with anyone, the ideal is that:

"We start with the most obvious traits - gender, race, age. We then go through culture, taste, personal history, etc. Eventually we see the person as Human and ultimately as another version of ourselves. To skip any of these stages is wrong....it's like skipping to the last page of a book.

That should be framed and put on every wall! It is apt because it is precisely what the familiarisation process with each other is all about - really getting to know people, allowing them to reveal themselves to us and not trying to be blind to what is important about them. Trouble comes when we do the short hand route, skipping out the bits which define that person, because we feel uncomfortable handling them, and then we are left wondering why we are no nearer to understanding that person or feeling at one with them. So it seems acceptable for women to rally behind Hillary Clinton and protect her because she is a woman and they are women, but with Barack Obama, similar support on racial lines is not deemed acceptable. One should see only his talents and not his colour. That's impossible in view of human nature.

In every new interaction, acknowledgement of the superficial and eternal elements should come first, then we move away from them to explore the similarities. By being 'colour-blind', we refuse to acknowledge something important about that individual, while it gradually becomes an invisible barrier, a taboo subject, thwarting greater understanding and empathy of their perception and practices, while they morph into acceptable versions of ourselves to prevent us feeling threatened.







Why Barack Obama Brings Hope to Blacks, in Particular

Some people might argue that class outweighs race in defining people of colour in the USA. But that is not quite true. Class might have worked in every other sphere for blacks, but it certainly hasn't worked for them so far in the race to be president, otherwise there would have been a black incumbent of the White House by now. It seems that in recent years, the idea of a black person as president has become more 'acceptable', regardless of his/her class. That is what makes Barack Obama's achievement of being the most 'acceptable' so far in the 21st century, to the majority white voters and getting so much money as well, so remarkable.

However, without sounding patronising, the effects of colour, both negative and positive, and its perception by people of colour, will never be understood by a white person in any number of years. Unless one has experienced those effects and borne endemic discrimination simply through being a particular colour and nothing else, one really cannot understand how that is ever felt, perceived and interpreted. One would also find it difficult to empathise with the continual focus on it.

For blacks everywhere, Obama is a beacon of hope and pride. He is enormously talented but that is dwarfed by the fact that he is the first black candidate to be in sight of the White House and might actually get there. Those who wish to pretend his colour does not matter in this case are doing him a great disservice. The first of anything matters, big time. Fifty years from now when there have been half a dozen more black presidents, his colour will cease to be an issue. Precedents would have been set. But now it does matter to the many black voters who will see him as a much needed- and overdue - role model.

White critics might disagree with that, because they have always taken representation for granted. Power comes easily to the white majority and is expected like some given right. Fact: all 43 presidents have been white. It is easy to ignore that inherent racism when being white and male have ben regarded almost as automatic for America's top leader. That's why they can afford to be colour-blind. For them, presidents can come in any colour, so long as it's white!

Being a black Briton, I do not expect the feelings towards the Senator, that myself and other Black Britons have expressed and felt, to be appreciated by others who might use a different yardstick of interpretation to view the world. It really does not relate to abstract tables, statistics or even class. It is about emotions and perceptions. And those can never be rationalised, even with the best arguments in the world. :o)







(First published on Helium.com)

Should political views be more important than colour?

I have heard people say that Barack Obama is the same as everyone else; that the media needs to stop dwelling on his skin and start focusing on his brain. That is true to a great extent, but not really possible when it comes to the first of anything. If there had been other black nominees before him who stood a chance of winning, then Barack's colour would not be an issue. But he will be creating history, should he win, as the first African American president. That fact should not be denied him in a superficial colour-blind approach, nor something that can be ignored or brushed aside for the purposes of fake equality.

People generally find it hard to deal with difference because any kind of difference often appears threatening until it is understood or there is some familiarity with it. So difference tends to be approached in 5 stages:

First: Fear of it and some tension (a desire to retreat from it or explore it)

Second: Interpreting it in known terms (i.e they are like us, so we are comfortable with that, hence colour-blindness)

Third: Acknowledging its value without sharing (no desire to ignore their identity, but a detached alignment)

Fourth: Understanding the difference and accepting it on its own terms

Fifth: Celebrating its presence and value (emulating that difference, respecting it fully, enjoying/adopting their cultural norms as on par with our own etc.)

One cannot move from the first stage to the fifth in rapid succession because without understanding there is no alignment or acceptance. Transition takes quite a while, depending on the degree of interaction between the parties, the level of education between them and the level of fear involved. Where there is little interaction, like never coming in contact with someone black/white, and little education the Fear stage will dominate for a very long time. The Third Stage usually happens when people live like distant neighbours but don't really mix together, a kind of 'live and let live' approach, which is common in the UK. Very few people manage to reach the Fifth stage: accepting difference to the extent of celebrating it. Such people tend to be highly confident in themselves, secure in who they are and don't mind crossing cultural boundaries to appreciate the real people behind them and even to emulate them.

Thus the essence of diversity and equality is not the desire for sameness. It is actually acknowledging that difference, then moving away from any difference, once we feel comfortable and secure with it, to share the similarities. But that difference has to be positively acknowledged and respected first, not wished away as though it isn't a key part of that person. Racists merely see the differences, not the similarities. Yet we do not forget gender and pretend a person isn't male or female. We fully acknowledge their sex and move beyond it.

The clear stages in coping with difference means that one has to get over that fear BEFORE they can see the person as 'normal'. So there will be much focus on Barack's race until he is in the job and doing it well or badly, then the focus will shift to other things. But we cannot hurry the interaction process because it is a perfectly natural human one of overcoming the difference first, to align it with our expectations, before we can see past it. Except where some people cannot cope with colour and then pretend it isn't there to make themselves feel comfortable!

For example, Formula 1 fans might not have cared about Lewis Hamilton's colour, but I bet he cared about it - a lot - because he was making history on all fronts and he would have been judged purely on it before he proved himself! He would also have taken great pride in being the first Black person to achieve that accolade.

However, I do agree that Barack also deserves to be heard for his talent and not just noted for his colour because he is pretty inspiring. The key here is not to just emphasise one aspect of a person to the detriment of the other, nor to ignore the bits we can't cope with to show how 'fair' we are. That's a spurious form of equality which robs the person of their own identity so that we can pretend they are really like us; that there is nothing different about them. We need to appreciate everyone fully without denying them parts of their identity.






Why Bill Clinton campaigning is unfair to Barack Obama

Barack Obama recently commented that there were three people instead of two in the race between himself and Hillary Clinton for the Democrat nomination: her husband Bill being the third. He felt there was some unfairness in recent remarks made by Bill about him and the active part he is playing in the campaign. I agree on both fronts.

There is no harm in Bill advising his wife, from the sidelines or in the background. Wives and husbands have a great role to play as supporting members of the team, from a respectful distance, not as the main players themselves. In this case, there are two main things wrong with Bill Clinton's current role.

First, Hillary is either running for president or it is her husband who is running again. But they cannot have it both ways. She cannot use her husband so publicly, then claim to be the one fit for office when Bill is doing most of the work to get her back in. If she is capable of being President of the United States, then she should be showing the American people how SHE alone is capable, not her husband. By employing Bill Clinton in such a visible way, even to attacking other candidates, she is giving a very powerful message of her own ineptitude in defending herself, setting out her stall and fighting her own battles. What she is actually saying, by allowing Bill to speak for her so blatantly, is: "Please vote for me, but it will be my husband who will be de facto president as I cannot achieve it on my own."

It is difficult to believe in someone who needs another person's help so publicly to put out their message. That's an admission of one's incapacity to deliver the goods. Bill Clinton might be great at drawing a crowd, persuading them into action and have the charisma she lacks, but Bill Clinton has already served his presidency and should be firmly in the background, if he is not to give the lie to the notion that we are really getting Hillary this time round. It doesn't seem like it at all. We appear to be getting a shared nomination, regardless of Hillary's intention, because there are clearly two people running this race.

Second, it should not be allowed for non-candidates to be making public derogatory comments about the named candidates in the campaign. It is unethical and unfair. One should be engaged in a fair contest with other candidates, not the rest of their families as well. It gives Hillary Clinton a clear advantage to have her husband acting like a candidate too.

I think it is time Bill Clinton stop campaigning on behalf of his wife so publicly, or stop making public statements against her opponents, for the integrity of the election process and the fairness required in that process. Otherwise, Bill's presence might help Hillary to get into the White House, indeed, but what kind of president would she really be in view of that, and just who would be the next president, in reality?







Three Quotes That Sum Up The Reasons for Barack Obama's South Carolina Victory

There has been some fierce debate on Newsvine during this past week about the role of the two-headed Clintons in South Carolina, especially the ferocious dual attack on Barack Obama. Those attacks were unprecedented, coming as they do from a former president who, in my opinion, should have been gracefully retired, supporting his wife from a respectful distance, and not sinking to the low level of the scrum to denigrate another candidate in his own party.

The office of President of the United States of America (at least to outsiders like me) should carry special kudos and weight. It is the highest in the land, the acknowledged leader of the free world. Even if the incumbents weren't perfect in their actions while in office, once they leave it, they should behave in a dignified manner as befits former presidents. Otherwise, what is the point of aspiring to such a lofty position if one is going to behave in a common, vulgar manner, suitable to a street yob? Thankfully, their actions did little good except to paint them as street rabble and deliver a stunning victory to Barack Obama.

*Quote 1, was precise in the reason: “The Clintons will now have to deal with a perception of hollowness about her strategy, that she is leaving it to her husband to take care of things and allowing him to overshadow her political message,” said Blease Graham, a professor of political science at the University of South Carolina." Exactly.

Hillary gave mixed messages in South Carolina, especially ones that suggested she couldn't deal with Obama on her own, she needed her husband to help get her the presidency and it was a dual candidacy, not a single ticket anymore, as the public had thought. That could have new repercussions for her in the coming state contests on Feb.5. She has shown herself in a new light; emphasising the renewed presence of Bill Clinton, when many voters might have thought they were getting real change in Hillary. Not anymore.

In the end, the attacks backfired and Obama got an overwhelming victory, 28 points clear of Clinton. I noticed the negative colour angle already creeping up in the reporting to dilute the power of his win and detract from its effect: that Obama won only by a massive black vote and he would need more than that for Super Tuesday. But I didn't see the same racist comment when he won in Iowa by a massive white vote. That seemed okay then. Neither was there a similar comment when Hillary won in Nevada and New Hampshire. She had a massive white vote in her favour, but that didn't seem to matter either. Colour comes into it when it can be dismissed. The message appears to be: Black people voting en masse only carry Black appeal. White people voting en masse, for whatever candidate, is perfectly fine and shows cross-cultural appeal. Give me strength to deal with such naked racism!

I applaud Mr Obama for hitting the nail on the head in his victory speech: the divisiveness of the Clinton campaign which is what they would be giving the country much more of, if they were elected. As reported:

*Quote 2: In his victory speech Saturday night, Mr. Obama indeed sounded like a candidate with a cause, saying that the fight for South Carolina produced not only a personal victory but also progress over the divisive politics of the past. His target was clear enough without his naming names.

All through the campaign I kept wondering that if the Clintons were treating a fellow Democrat in that manner, how would they treat an enemy? It doesn't bear thinking about! Thankfully, the public has the last say with their votes and they spoke with a vengeance against that kind of divisive politics.

It was left to Caroline Kennedy, in a surprise endorsement of Obama today, under the amazing headline, 'A President Like My Father', to put the finishing touches on this man's incredible journey to the White House, in spite of all the odds he'll face. She has already crowned him as the successor to John Kennedy's legacy with her poignant, personal letter, and only history will prove whether she is right, but what an ace out of the pack.

As she noted unambiguously:
Quote 3: "Sometimes it takes a while to recognize that someone has a special ability to get us to believe in ourselves, to tie that belief to our highest ideals and imagine that together we can do great things. In those rare moments, when such a person comes along, we need to put aside our plans and reach for what we know is possible.

We have that kind of opportunity with Senator Obama. It isn’t that the other candidates are not experienced or knowledgeable. But this year, that may not be enough. We need a change in the leadership of this country — just as we did in 1960."

Amen to that, and thank you, Caroline. :o)

(See the rest of her article here: A President Like My Father

*Quotes 1 and 2 taken from: Obama Weathers a Test of Mettle







Why Barack Obama is so Inspiring. How much HOPE do YOU have?

I came across this quote about HOPE from Barack and felt goosepimples as I read it:

"Hope is not blind optimism. Its not ignoring the enormity of the task ahead or the roadblocks that stand in our path. Its not sitting on the sidelines or shirking from a fight. Hope is that thing inside us that insists, despite all the evidence to the contrary, that something better awaits us if we have the courage to reach for it, and to work for it, and to fight for it....Hope is the bedrock of this nation--the belief that our destiny will not be written for us, but by us. By all those men and women who are not content to settle for the world as it is--who have the courage to remake the world as it should be. Together, ordinary people can do extraordinary things." Barack Obama

It is so uplifting and motivating, not least for the last sentence,
Together, ordinary people can do extraordinary things. Amen to that!

When we are stuck in a rut, in a certain outdated mindset, used to negative actions instead of encouraging ones, it is easy to dismiss Barack's comment as mere empty words and political fodder. It is difficult to change from being positive to negative overnight without the necessery 'proof we require to believe it. Difficult to see another way of achieving things, when everything has been so disappointing. Difficult to see how his words can change into reality when one has seen it all promised before and fallen by the wayside. But the key here is that Barack isn't trying to promise us anything. He is not promising to do anything himself either, which makes those who love to blame and expect actions from others perhaps feel uncomfortable.

Barack is, in fact, putting the ball into our court. Showing us that though we are ordinary beings, together we can be almost invincible. We can do things we never even dream of if we have the hope, the faith and the will to change our world, change our actions and thus change ourresults. We can, in fact, be quite extraordinary, if we choose, or quite ordinary and powerless if we hang back.

What is giving life to Barack's words just now, making them stand out, are three crucial things: the need for something different, the negativity that surrounds us and the timing. That timing is so important. At any other time, Barack's words might have fallen on deaf ears; they would not have made an impact or taken root. But the fact that they are like sparks falling on dry timber says where we all are at this moment and the need to feel empowered to change our situation. Not by Barack alone promising what he cannot deliver, but by us all joining him to give life to those words in our way, not his, and to realise what could be possible!

He cannot do it alone. Notice how many times he says 'you' in his speeches. He knows that without us, he can do very little. He needs our trust, faith and help and that makes him stand out from all the other politicians doing things in the same old way through those continuing empty promises.

I don't do ordinary, so it is most wonderful to find someone who can help me to become truly extraordinary.





Will a Clear Democrat Leader Emerge From Super Tuesday?

YEEEESSS, for me! The one and only Barack Obama.

It won't be an easy victory because Hillary Clinton has her staunch followers and supporters and not everyone is enamoured with Barack. His impact is not yet understood by the diehards, though the need for change has certainly hit home with many younger voters, independent voters and some undecideds.

Expect a tremendous fight to the finish but a victorious winner to take the laurels, one who will be going on to get the nomination, and it will be Barack.









Counting the Ways Barack Obama is now President-in-Waiting

Unlike many people, I have had faith in Barack Obama's ability to be President of the United States from the first time I saw his photo taken on a trip to Kenya. I had never heard of him and wondered why they were making a fuss of this man, referring to him as their 'returning Son'. His manner, presence and aspirations intrigued me and I began to follow his progress. Soon I was also inspired by this relative unknown, even having the audacity myself to make a bet with Bill Harrison, the Vine's known political pundit, last year August, barely two months on the Vine, that my instincts told me he would win. Bill was a little dismissive of my instincts. Armed with his facts and precedents, he did not feel my optimism matched up to the evidence or the prevailing opinions and gladly took the bet. But here we are, almost a year down the line, with my instincts about to be massively vindicated and I am completely hooked.

I have watched as Barack has grown in stature to confound even his sternest critic. But that has not surprised me in the least because of three attributes he clearly possesses, which his opponent lacks: leadership, empathy with others and the ability to take others with him. Those are powerful skills which cannot be bought in any shape or form.

1. LEADERSHIP: Barack's leadership is shown in three main ways: a. First, the unity of his team, the way they all pull together from start to finish without any need to hire and fire midstream. That is essential to maintain morale, to affirm the good job people are doing and to help those team members feel part of the overall success when it is all over. Under the guidance of formidable campaign manager, David Plouffe, Barack has grown incredibly smarter in a short time which has allowed his natural leadership to gradually take centre-stage. He and his team come across as a tightly knit group, supporting each other, being united in their aims and being there for one another. Contrast that to the divisions already noted in the Clinton team and how she deals with setbacks by blaming her staff and getting rid of them when most of the work has been done.

b. Second, his ability to stay on topic and focused. Even when he was getting it from all sides in South Carolina, from the twin-headed Clintons, he still kept his cool. He did allow himself to be dragged into the odd skirmish, but once he saw the folly of that, he quickly withdrew to his usual position of disdain above the fray and asserted his leadership acumen in that instance. Mistakes are inevitable when one is new and has to learn. But what an incredible personal base to start from.

c. Third, his obvious knack of making decisions which matter. He did not lose his cool even when he lost New Hampshire, especially when he was supposed to have won it, according to the polls. In fact, he put that quickly behind him, taking quite a few other states after that which shows superb leadership skills, even in the face of defeat. It is easy to regress into victim and loser mode, to criticise your oponent when they win or to denigrate that win to feel better. But Barack's 'victory' speech in defeat said it all. It was a masterpiece of campaigning and looking ahead rather than wallowing in regret and envy.

2.EMPATHY: Barack's ability to empathise might not come across fully to those who are not supporters, but as a member of his website and the way he looks after all his state-wide teams, I have been able to experience that empathy first hand. Asking all members to send encouraging letters, motivating everyone through his team and building up a formidable network of grassroots support is simply amazing. You tend to feel part of a family group than just backing a candidate. It makes you want to send out that kind word to a Precinct Captain and to chivvy them along, even if you cannot be there with them. Consistently throughout, for Barack it is all about 'Thank you', being fired up and moving forward, and being part of a movement rather than just a voter who is here today and forgotten tomorrow. And that has been the biggest difference between him and Hillary. There is genuine care in his approach to others. Note how quickly Hillary leaves all the losing states as soon as the results are known. The perception is that she no longer needs them now that some voters rejected her. That is terribly sad because overt appreciation is one of the strongest reinforcements that bring people to us and also keeps them with us. His Christmas broadcast was a masterstroke of people empathy by aligning with families and their values at that sensitive time, and without any overt campaigning too.

3. PERSUASION: This is the greatest gift Barack Obama seems to possess, to bring people over to his way of thinking. Slowly, but surely, he has changed people's perception of him, changed their perception of themselves and changed America's perception of its own possibilities through change. That is why he won eight states in a row over the last few days. Nothing succeeds like success and Barack is now regarded, without doubt, as a true winner. Watch the remaining states line up behind him because very few people want to be on the losing side. From being a mere possibility, when Hillary was constantly leading and preening herself, getting complacent about him, Obama has emerged as the true president-in-waiting, with the patience, self-belief and fortitude to overcome race and gender issues to present his own vision and have it gradually accepted by the sceptics. His speeches have been so inspirational and motivational, it is easy to see why people want to be a part of this historical happening, and to share that vision. They want to be there some time in the future telling their children and grandchildren about the moment America looked inside itself and began to value everyone by jettisoning its negative past and putting a greater value on its future. To simply say, "I was there when it happened".

Yes, indeed, and so was I. :o)

We would be rather foolish and shortsighted to underestimate the magnitude of what this fascinating man is currently achieving.







The Best Thing Hillary Clinton Could do For March 4th

Hillary Clinton has already lost, even though she is pinning her hopes on Texas and Ohio. The problem with using a specific marker for anything important is that there tends to be no Plan B, if the original aim does not go to plan. Hillary did not begin to lose with the primaries in 2008, she began to lose much earlier than that, in 2007, in fact, and the best thing she could do for her dignity and the Democratic Party is to gracefully concede on March 3rd with her dignity intact. Otherwise, it could prove rather humiliating for her on the big day.

Hillary began the slippery slide to being a loser in 2007 with the following actions:

1. Her early and sustained lead lulled her into a false sense of security where she completely underestimated her opponent. Underdogs can be lethal because they have nothing to lose and everything to gain, especially the glory of competing and besting the opposition, the one expected to win. That carries such a sweet smell of success for the challenger. As long as she was in the lead, she couldn't take that for granted. But she did, very often, even apparently telling friends on the phone at every opportunity, "When I'm in the White House...."

Really? It was that certain, eh? Wow!

Notice not a humble 'if', or a 'maybe', but a 'when'. That kind of arrogance tempts fate. Fate was obviously tempted and reacted with a vengeance. Politics is such a transient pastime because its success depends on the fickleness of the public. They do not like people who take their votes for granted or ungracious people who cannot even thank supporters or the opponent when they win. She clearly thought that her lead was invincible and could not be breached and is paying for that arrogance now.

2. Like many political pundits in the country, and commentators here on the Vine, people had only their old mindsets to go on, the same old perspectives to use to judge the new election. But we cannot move into a technological age where the rules are different and use the same old narrow mindsets to serve new purposes. Barack Obama was written off before he even began his campaign, almost like a court jester to Hillary's serious purpose. To those knowledgeable commentators, he had not a hope in hell of beating the Clinton darling who had so much 'experience' and pedigree. Her team certainly didn't give him any chance of beating her either, otherwise she would have treated him with much more caution and respect from the very beginning.

Barack Obama is now regarded as 'a phenomenon' by members of her team, but it took a lot of beatings for them to concede that of him. I mentioned last year in another article (Four Key Reasons...) that Obama was like the Google juggernaut that no one could actually see approaching until it was flattening them, and that is what has happened to Hillary Clinton. He had to almost run her over before she acknowledged his presence. When there is massive change afoot, the last people who will see it are those with closed minds, insecurity in their usual comfort zones and fear of the future. They believe ignoring it, belittling it, shutting it out or speaking of it in a derogatory manner will keep the change away, keep them safe in their usual hideaways. But we can never ignore change when its time has come and America itself could not have continued the way it has been over the past 8 years. A change had to come at some point, and this is it.

3. The Man himself. Hillary and her team totally underestimated the charismatic and appealing power and sheer determination of Barack Obama. Alarm bells should have rung out when he started getting all those donations from people being excited by his presence and vision. People don't support losers. They saw something amazing in him and were willing to give their hard earned dollars to get him up there. He is a formidable person who, whether one loves or hates him, has to be admired for his sheer tenacity, bravado and messages of hope.

Whether Barack is successful in the white House or not is not the real point here. He would have acted as a catalyst to get people to begin the self-reviewing process to make the USA a much better place because they can never be the same again after this year's elections. A lot of old mindsets would have been replaced as people gradually begin to realise the age they are in and what is now required to go forward. All of those cosy cobwebs would have been blown away in the process.

Yes, Hillary should do the honourable thing and concede defeat on March 3rd, with head held high. But I hope she doesn't because then her supporters might think she 'helped' Barack to win. By taking it to the bitter end, Barack will leave no doubt as to the force he now has behind him to confirm that change. It should be very interesting to see what happens in Ohio and Texas and many people are waiting with bated breaths. Never have two states had so much riding on them!







5 things America needs to change in its presidential elections

Thanks to Newsvine, I have been able to watch the American elections from close quarters, to see the progress or fall of the leading candidates and to even have my two cents worth from the hustings through my favoured candidate, Barack Obama. I have to admit that if Obama were not in the race, I would have favoured Hillary Clinton. It just so happens that there are two history-making candidates with different advantages in the frame this year and that has presented a difficult choice to their supporters who would like to see either of them win.

For years, there appeared to be no other choices but white males for the public to elect and then, like busses in a row, two other choices pull up at the same time. No wonder the nation seems to be heavily divided and confused, not because Clinton or Obama is so different from each other, or better than the other, but because the election has become unpredictable and exciting for the very first time, particularly for the Democrats. For women and minorities, it is really hard to know which way to go. And if you are a woman AND a minority, jeeez!

However, from across the Pond, a few things haven't made sense in the selection process and I think they need to change for fairness to be seen to be done when the dust has settled.

First, the length of the campaign: It is far too long. It should start much later in the current president's term and last only a year, no more than that, so that everything is conducted in his/her final year and then a hand-over at the end of it. Such a long campaign is debilitating and divisive. It needs to be briskly conducted and no hopers winnowed out quickly to concentrate on the leaders. That should dramatically cut down on the next factor, money.

Second, the money required: It is obscene to need so much money to elect a president of the USA. The only message that gives is that money makes a president, nothing else. The ones with the most money and loudest shout appear to win the race. That could also be why the 'wrong' people are perceived to be nominated for elections. Yet being president of America is the country's highest office and should be treated with the respect it deserves. It shouldn't be a time when the media makes a killing out of the candidates through advertising because all adverts should carry a hefty discount, or even be free, for example, to get the messages to the people as much as possible.

Third, the location of the first primaries: All early primaries should be rotated around the country so that every state has a chance to benefit from the clear economic gains of being the first primary and also have a say in who the first winners are. To keep having the same states as front runners every time leads to jealousy, feelings of being sidelined and a desire to get in on the action, which happened to Michigan and Florida this year when they were penalised for wanting their primaries earlier. Yet it is very natural to want that kind of media and economic benefit for one's state that Iowa and New Hampshire appear to enjoy each election. In today's media world it clearly does not make sense to have the same two states enjoying that first privilege every time. It really isn't fair to the other states who have to watch from the sidelines with a silent voice wishing they could be part of the action.

Fourth, the elitist presence of super delegates: There should be no super delegates in any fair elections, especially with the anomalous position of favouring someone their states voted against, neither should there be any clear support from governors for candidates until the convention. Something seems wrong to me that Gov. Strickand of Ohio openly favours Hillary Clinton and is campaigning for her, hoping she wins, when there are two candidates fighting for that state. Surely, that does not make for a fair contest from the very beginning? No governor should indicate their personal choice until after a primary. That makes for a more level playing field to start with, especially in such a crucial contest as Texas and Ohio.

Fifth, the practice of endorsements: No one publicly endorses someone unless they want something in the process, even if it is simple acknowledgement, association with, or support from the perceived winner. I think endorsements can come after the person is in the White House, when they have got there on their own steam and their own efforts and owe no one anything. But are all these people coming out of the woodwork to endorse a candidate a good thing for the country? Will they want some kind of payback at some time? And how can one please all those disparate interests and expectations? Endorsements imply that a person is not good on their own merit until someone else says so, that they are inadequate until propped up by some group or person, which is why America is in the mess it is in from too many party and lobbying interests. Endorsements tie presidents to unwritten promises and give undue privilege to certain sections of society which immediately disenfranchise the rest of the population.

I think if these five factors were to be changed, there would be a fairer and clearer election process. This is the Internet age and it has had the biggest influence on the 2008 election, a clear pointer the future elections. Things cannot run the way they used to run, as Obama's very successful campaign has demonstrated .

And to anyone who might be tempted to say that 'this is how things have always been done', a genuine desire for all -round change among the population is why Barack Obama is now leading the field!

(Picture: [courtesy Sen.Obama's office] Perhaps with an eye to the difficult job he would have to do, the Senator poses in front of the Superman Statue in downtown Metropolis, IL (2006).




 





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